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Ottawa is currently developing a transition taxonomy – essentially a guideline as to which types of investments are appropriate in the transition to a net-zero economy. The post Is the LNG industry gaslighting the path to net-zero? Shawn McCarthy is an independent writer focused on energy and climate change.
The company was one of the first oil majors to commit to being net-zero in 2050 and was showing signs it was open to speeding up its transition to a low-carbon future. And at the end of January, the company even predicted that oil demand would peak by the early 2030s.
In a report released the same day, the three advocacy groups recommend that Ottawa ’ s banking regulator require financial institutions to adopt a “ credible climate plan ” that would include interim targets for 2025 and 2030. . Senator Rosa Galvez is also critical of the regulator ’ s approach.
Former chair of the Committee on Climate Change Lord Deben believes the country can get back on track to netzero and regain its status as a global leader. The committee’s most recent report , published in July, called for swift action to achieve the UK’s 2030 target of reducing carbon emissions by 68% compared to 1990 levels.
Fossil fuel demand falls 25% by 2030, fossil sector methane emissions drop by three-quarters, energy efficiency adoption doubles, global renewable energy capacity triples, and annual clean energy investment rises from US$1.8 trillion by the early 2030s in the latest net-zero roadmap published this morning by the International Energy Agency.
The Science Based Targets initiative makes clear that greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution must halve by 2030. Every dollar not spent in new ways to cut GHG and to stop the voracious linear economy is investing in future strandedassets. Beyond data. Pull Quote. Fink’s signal is not loud enough, especially for those in the back.
The clean energy transition is happening faster than predicted, with renewable deployment rates growing in line with the International Energy Agency’s scenario for reaching net-zero by 2050. While Canadian energy majors have paid lip service to the idea of becoming “net-zero,” their current climate strategies amount to delay tactics.
Even without carbon pricing, wind power is set to be 40% cheaper than gas-fired power in both provinces by 2030,” the report states. There is also the risk that fossil fuel infrastructure is retired before the end of its economic lifetime and becomes a strandedasset—a liability taxpayers would likely pay for.”
The second aim states that signatories should achieve net-zero emissions from electricity consumption by 2030. Is Bitcoin the next strandedasset? Recent developments in technology suggest the industry has started putting plans into action, with the appearance of sustainable tools and infrastructures.
Those organisations that have not considered reducing these emission sources could be misunderstanding the double materiality risks they carry: the risks to their business, like strandedassets or reputational risks, and their contribution to making the Earth uninhabitable. However, greater action is required to fully realise this.
Alongside the new Scope 3 target, however, Shell also eliminated a 2035 emissions intensity goal, and revised down its interim 2030 intensity goal as well. While the company had previously set 2030 targets to reduce its Scope 1 and 2 emissions, it had avoided setting an interim Scope 3 target.
In April, 2021, Germany’s Constitutional Court declared that the country’s 2030 emission reduction targets were insufficient, lacking in detail, and therefore violated the fundamental rights of citizens—including the nine youth climate campaigners who originally launched the case.
C, and investee companies are not yet facing full scrutiny of their netzero transition strategies, posing challenges for institutional investors committed to decarbonising their portfolios in line with the Paris Agreement. Others might set a target for some or all portfolio companies to be netzero aligned by 2030.
Alongside strandedasset dangers for investors, the early phase-out of emerging markets coal fleets leaves countries open to legal, financial risks. The International Energy Agency has said the world needs to cut 90% of coal use by 2050 and phase out all unabated coal power plants by 2040 to achieve netzero by the mid-century.
For the FNMPC, that equity should come as broadly as possible – including through the inclusion of Indigenous communities in the development of a greener grid that enables Canada to reach net-zero. These plants will need to develop plans to meet Alberta’s net-zero grid targets by 2050 given that new plants may run for decades to come.
This is according to a study by global asset manager Invesco and Sweden’s fourth national pension fund, AP4, who recently partnered up to explore the road to netzero for institutional investors. It now aims to further halve its emissions by 2030 compared to 2020 levels – with the long-term goal of achieving netzero by 2040. “We
managing $446 billion, announced plans to invest $100 billion in climate solutions by 2030. Deep engagement and accountability: CalPERS has long supported companies that are managing their risks responsibly and preparing for their transition to the netzero economy. This year, a record $1.8
To maintain a chance to avoid the worst climate impacts, science says we need rapid, deep emissions cuts – at least 50 percent by 2030. While investment portfolios will take time to reflect a climate-aligned, resilient approach, in an ideal scenario, we would see an orderly shift to a net-zero economy.
Delaying those actions “would lock in high-emissions infrastructure, raise risks of strandedassets and cost escalation, reduce feasibility, and increase losses and damages.” In energy supply, solar and wind deliver by far the highest net emission reductions through 2030 at the lowest cost. C at the end of the century.
Research by the International Energy Agency (IEA) shows that a major push on energy efficiency could save the equivalent of China’s annual energy usage, as well as 33% of the total additional netzero emission reductions required by 2030. This has just been a hugely difficult winter for millions of people,” says Birt. “If
Canada’s Environment and Climate Change Minister Steven Guilbeault said: “By eliminating inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, we are encouraging smart and efficient government investment decisions that can increase Canada’s competitiveness in a decarbonizing global economy, while avoiding creation of strandedassets.
Build more investor confidence in green infrastructure projects The greatest fear that many investors have around investing in green infrastructure projects is that they become “strandedassets.” To prevent this, governments must make a long-term commitment to a green energy source such as hydrogen or nuclear. oil and gas).
The UK’s netzero transition depends on huge amounts of private capital that can only be unlocked through climate policy certainty. According to the CCC report, the UK will continue to need some oil and gas fields until it reaches netzero, but this “does not in itself justify the development of new North Sea fields”.
The shareholder resolution encourages TotalEnergies to become “the first oil and gas giant that has its targets for 2030 completely 1.5°C Investors applaud this leadership in expanding netzero targets to fully account for material Scope 3 emissions,” said Daniel Stewart, Energy Program Manager of As You Sow. Pressure on Amazon.
Those numbers left any Indigenous investor with the prospect of losing money on the deal and facing “the likely prospect of being saddled with a strandedasset,” independent economist Robyn Allan, a former president and CEO of the Insurance Corporation of British Columbia, told The Energy Mix at the time.
Transition plans should demonstrate alignment with 2030 decarbonisation targets, says UN Climate Envoy. In addition, institutions should have interim decarbonisation targets that are “consistent” with the 2030 target, set by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , of reducing CO2 emissions by around 45% from 2010 levels.
Financial institution focus Following successful litigation in 2021, a Dutch court required Shell to slash its emissions by 45% by 2030 and held the firm responsible for Scope 3 emissions from its value chain.
With global trade highly dependent on shipping, achieving netzero may put wind in the sails of other industries’ climate ambitions. For the first time, the IMO has also agreed on an overarching objective to achieve netzero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by or around 2050.
Last summer, the European Commission launched a raft of climate-related legislation – ‘ Fit for 55 ’ (Ff55) – to reduce net EU emissions by 55% by 2030 from 1990 levels. It includes a proposal for amending the 2009 Renewable Energy Directive to increase its target for renewables to 40% of its overall energy mix by 2030.
These shareholder proposals also encourage banks to be mindful of facilitating and upholding business plans that invest in the development of new assets at disproportionate risk of becoming strandedassets. Proponents of the resolutions acknowledge the near-term need for fossil fuels. US and Canadian banks need to get on board.
Exercising influence Worldwide, i nvestments in nature-based solutions (NbS), such as reforestation, or flood recovery, need to more than double by 2030 to US$384 billion, and the newly agreed Global Biodiversity Framework calls for at least US$200 billion of private sector capital a year. The capacity to employ this capital is huge.
If you’re struggling to work out whether big oil is serious about reducing carbon emissions in line with netzero 2050 targets, you’re in good company. The UK firm’s updated netzero strategy was hailed by some as a blueprint for the industry, and was welcomed by major investors. Does this include BP, for example?
The private sector’s ability to accelerate the pace of netzero transition is open to question. Climate-focused investors welcomed the change from the coal-wielding Scott Morrison, calling for an “investment grade 2030 emissions target”, and accompanying policy changes, including a National Transition Authority.
The report, titled ‘Sustainable fuels for shipping by 2050 – the 3 key elements of success’, appears to reveal that the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and FuelEU Maritime Initiative (FEUM) i will see the cost of fossil fuels more than double by 2030. They have a major role in accelerating towards net-zero emissions shipping.
Financial institution focus Following successful litigation in 2021, a Dutch court required Shell to slash its emissions by 45% by 2030 and held the firm responsible for Scope 3 emissions from its value chain.
This stands in contrast with China’s domestic energy policy, which is prioritizing a transition to renewable energy, peak emissions before 2030 and a net-zero economy by 2060. Of course, China is not the only culprit. The full knowledge brief is available here.
The report warns that fossil fuel demand will peak as government policies to cut emissions, asset owners’ net-zero commitments and the rapid growth of clean energy technologies combine to transition the economy towards renewables. This is especially important now as fossil fuel prices and related company stocks soar.” .
This AGM season, investors have filed numerous shareholder resolutions to accelerate finance sector action to address climate risks and meet netzero commitments. However, all three banks have set “only intensity targets”, he said.
Yet, despite this uncertainty, decarbonisation is a megatrend; driven by the need to reach netzero by 2050 if the world is to avoid catastrophic climate change. Meanwhile, the EU recently announced the NetZero Industry Act to rival this plan, and “make Europe the home of cleantech and industrial innovation on the road to netzero”.
BP has cut its oil and gas production reduction target from 40% to 25% by 2030, Shell dropped its goal to cut oil production by the same deadline, and TotalEnergies plans to increase both its oil and gas production by 2-3% per year until 2028. C pathway by 2050 would requires as much as 50% by 2030. Last year, Shell invested US$5.6
Further, only 9% have implemented a response to their physical risk exposure. International adaptation finance flows to developing countries are ten times below estimated needs, according to the UN’s 2022 Adaptation Gap report.
Net-zero CO2 energy systems entail: a substantial reduction in overall fossil fuel use, minimal use of unabated fossil fuels, and use of CCS in the remaining fossil system,” says the report. C or below will leave a substantial amount of fossil fuels unburned and could strand considerable fossil fuel infrastructure.
Many have set science-based targets aligned with 1.5ºC, others are starting their journey to net-zero. For business, investments in fossil fuels are now far riskier because the market expects them to become strandedassets in the foreseeable future. The Glasgow Pact has given them the direction of travel.
The new initiative seeks to engage with companies in key sectors that are deemed to be systemically important in reversing nature and biodiversity loss by 2030.
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