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Global issuance of labelled sustainablebonds including green, social, sustainability, sustainability-linked, and transition bonds is anticipated to again reach around $1 trillion in 2025, according to a new forecast released by Moodys Ratings, as headwinds including political changes from the new U.S.
Issuance volumes for SLBs were particularly weak in the second half of the year, as issuers faced scrutiny of the credibility and robustness of their linked sustainability targets, as well as the sector’s exposure to high-yield issuance. A more supportive policy environment, such as the recently passed Inflation Reduction Act in the U.S.
Issuance volumes of green, social, sustainability and sustainability-linked (GSSS) bonds rebounded sharply in Q1 2024 over the prior quarter, rising 36% to $281 billion, up from $207 billion in Q4 2023, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service.
In addition to volume growth, S&P also anticipates an expansion in bond types, with a more prominent presence for transition and blue bonds, even as greenbonds continue to dominate. For 2024, the report forecasts GSSSB issuance volumes of $0.95 trillion to $1.05 trillion, growing slightly from $0.98
Moody’s anticipates that volumes may bottom out in the region in 2024, with tailwinds from incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act driving increases in green technologies, although the report also notes uncertainty from the upcoming U.S. election on federal climate policy clouding the issuance outlook.
For the report, Sustainable Fitch examined the green, social, sustainability and sustainability-linked labeled bonds rated by its ESG Ratings service, with a focus on the instruments’ Use of Proceeds’ contribution to green and social impact, and the level of transparency and ambition in project or target selection.
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